Fun With Numbers: March 2015 US Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

I’ve actually been keeping these logs for a year now, somehow.

Notable releases with odds of charting this month are releases of Space Dandy and Unbreakable Machine Doll, with multiple BD editions and their best-ranked versions in the 1000s. All data displayed here was taken on February 23rd, 2015.

Format:

Release Title
[$price; rank]

March 3

Pokemon Collectors Set
[N/A; 81,373]

Yakitate!! Japan, Part 1
[$50; 56,842]

Outbreak Company: Complete Collection
[$60; 19,123]

Outbreak Company: Complete Collection [Blu-ray]
[$70; 12,537]

Ranma 1/2: TV Series Set 5
[$45; 53,436]

Ranma 1/2 TV Series Set 5 Limited Edition (Blu-ray)
[$55; 8498]

Unbreakable Machine Doll (Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$65; 1505]

Unbreakable Machine Doll (Linited Edition Blu-ray/DVD Conbo)
[$70; 27,185]

Space Dandy: Season 1 (Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$65; 31,213]

Space Dandy: Season 1 (Limited Edition Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$70; 1233]

Space Dandy: Season 1 – The Aloha Oe Crew Edition – Amazon Exclusive (Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$130; 12,105]

March 10

World God Only Knows Goddesses
[$60; 35,050]

World God Only Knows Goddesses [Blu-ray]
[$70; 13,322]

Familiar of Zero: Knight of the Twin Moons
[$50; 59,236]

Familiar of Zero: Knight of the Twin Moons [Blu-ray]
[$60; 11,441]

Fairy Tail: Part 15 (Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$55; 1596]

March 17

Devils and Realist
[$50; 40,273]

Devils and Realist [Blu-ray]
[$60; 59,427]

Bleach Uncut Set 24
[$45; 10,970]

March 24

School Rumble: First Semester & OVA’s S.A.V.E.
[$30; 67,984]

Armitage III: Movie Collection Classic
[$30; 47,236]

Place to Place: Complete Collection
[$50; 62,432]

Place to Place: Complete Collection [Blu-ray]
[$60; 49,571]

Pokémon: BW Adventures in Unova and Beyond Set 2 (DVD)
[$27; 40,641]

Student Council’s Discretion
[$50; 43,455]

Student Council’s Discretion [Blu-ray]
[$60; 42,363]

March 31

Gingitsune: Complete Collection
[$50; 97,310]

Gingitsune: Complete Collection [Blu-ray]
[$60; 60,850]

Harlock: Space Pirate
[$21; 7372]

Sankarea: Complete Series (Uncut) (Blu-ray/DVD Combo)
[$60; 20,327]

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2 thoughts on “Fun With Numbers: March 2015 US Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

    • I think there’s a ~20% chance we may not get them. It has 3 total editions, but we’re in the pre-release Thursday and the best-selling version is around #1200, with the other editions around #10,000 each (though one was at 40,000 yesterday). Titans p2 (sold 10,677 w1) was around #400 at this point in time, and p1 (sold 11,748 w1) was at #250 with another edition at #5000. My best-guess formula (which has plenty of holes), pegs those values’ worth in terms of copies sold per day like so:

      250: 702
      400: 572
      1200: 347
      5000: 170
      10000: 114

      There’s still a lot of variance in there, but right now Dandy could be argued to be getting a similar amount of preorders on amazon as Titan p2 was. Like Titan p2, it has a Walmart exclusive, and may see similar amounts of non-amazon business. I have no idea how the demographic breakdown will help or hurt it, but iirc Dandy got weaker TV ratings than Titan did.

      If the demos are similar *and* the formula is fairly accurate *and* the similarity to Titan p2 holds up through release week, it should break 10,000 copies sold in its first week. We may or may not see it – the majority of thresholds over the past month would be permissive to such a total, but two weeks recently had BD thresholds at 12k and 15k. There’s still a crapton of uncertainty involved – I’ll be a little more comfortable making a call next week when it’s officially been released for a couple of days – but it seems like it’ll do well regardless of whether we get specific totals or not.

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