Fun With Numbers: May 2017 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

This is a big, big month for US releases. 45 total, and 3 already are breaking triple-digits in the rankings (One Piece Film Gold, Gundam 08th MS Team, Speed Racer).

That’s not even counting the first Digimon tri film, just a hair outside the triple-digit zone at #1104 on BD (~65 copies a day) and #8764 on DVD (~39 copies a day). This is the first thing I’ve really cared about (best Ghibli film Only Yesterday doesn’t count because I only watched it recently, 6+ months after the US release) to track with a good possiblity of making the top 20 since I started 3 years ago. Don’t do anything to ruin my moment. The BD version was ranking in the top 300 2 months ago as it got a surge of preorders from the stream of part 4 of the same series. That top-300 ranking, at a minimum, is worth 240 a day. Assuming it spiked for 1 week and the DVD/BD sales ratio was proporitonal to what it is now, that’s 400*7+100*60=8800 copies from preorders without counting its release spike. The BD threshold for the public top-30 chart this time last year was 10,057. I *may* be livetweeting its stats daily, so check my twitter (@torisunanohokori) if you care as much as I do. If not, well that’s certainly not cool, but you do you.

Data was first taken on April 24th, 2017.

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Fun With Numbers: April 2017 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

April is a bit of a light month, with only 29 releases, none of which are in the top 1000 to start. Not much to say here, I’m far more excited to see how Digimon tri does in May (that baby’s already in the top 500 with over a month to go).

Data was first taken on March 27th, 2017.

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Kokoro Connect’s TV+OVA DVD Initially Stocked 5 Discs on Amazon

This is a fairly minor bit of news, but it’s a benchmark that’s at least mildly noteworthy. Kokoro Connect was rereleased as a full 17-episode series in both BD and DVD formats on March 14th, 2017. The TV and OVA series had previously been released in separate collections. This particular collection is noteworthy because the DVD version has thus far gone unranked among products on amazon, indicating there have been zero preorders or purchases of the product. The initial price was the MSRP of $60, but, on the 17th, the price was cut by 33% to $40. On the same day, Amazon began listing that there were 5 copies remaining in stock, and the collection remains unranked. So there you go, one solid example of how much DVDs initially stock on Amazon. It may not be indicative of the overall market as a rerelease, but this minor discovery takes us from 0 datapoints to 1.

I may be able to analyze data in the future and see how typical this is, but there isn’t much point in going back to the past – I don’t currently grab “only X copies left in stock” messages, since they appear inconsistently.

Fun With Numbers: 2016’s Second Half in US Home Video

Six months ago, I took my amazon data and banged out rough sales projections for the first half of 2016. Just recently I found the time to do the same for when the region in question made an unusually high number of terrible decisions motivated by the hate that apparently fuels a depressing number of people.

Disclaimer: In this post I’m going to do some funky stuff with data that research has led me to believe I can reasonably do, plus one very uncertain gap-filling reach. BUT I don’t have any inside information and I could make mistakes here in a number of ways.

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Fun With Numbers: March 2017 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

Amazon’s anime tag contains 36 releases coming up this march, plus they added a BD re-release of 5cm/s at the end of February so I’ll be tracking that as well. Currently ranking above #5000 are 5cm/s, Miss Hokusai, the Ghost in the Shell movie, the Steins Gate movie, and the Is It Wrong to Pick Up Girls in a Dungeon BD set. That final item has a much higher starting point than Trinity Seven did in August 2016, and I’m currently projecting that one to be the best-performing new TV series release in the second half of last year, so I’m very interested to see how high it gets.

Data was first taken on February 27th, 2017.

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Fun With Numbers: Some Visuals and Thoughts on Light/Serial Novel Adaptations from 2010-2016

Compared to manga adaptations and original anime, which tend to be all over the map, I used to view light novel adaptations as more of a solved problem – popular light novels almost always become popular anime. However, in the past couple of years I’ve seen that rule broken several times, and it’s worth it to go back and examine the data, especially as the slant of adaptations in the year 2016 was not only unprecedented, but also looks to perhaps be the start of a trend.

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Fun With Numbers: January 2017 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

Fun With Numbers: January 2017 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

This January continues a post-Christmas tradition of sales being depressed for a month or two, and that carries over to the number of releases due out this month. There’s only 21 anime titles, about half of what there would be in any other month. Not particularly exciting, but hey, it made the post easy to do!

Data was first taken on December 25th, 2016.

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Fun With Numbers: December 2016 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

December is a light month for releases. Only 40, and only 4 of 39 with rank data available are even in 4-digit territory (and that’s counting the live-action Attack on Titan movie). Just as well, since the holiday surge in thresholds would make it impossible to get sales data for top releases anyway.

Data was first taken on November 20th, 2016.

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Fun With Numbers: November 2016 Amazon Data (Initial Numbers)

November has five Tuesdays in it, and so it kind of a big month for releases numbers-wise. But there’s a lot of re-releases and low-sales-tier stuff clogging the list of 50+ titles we’ve got here. The only release doing notably well for a start is Overlord, due out on Nov 8 and averaging maybe 50 preorder copies per day at the moment.

Also, I added Hana Yori Dango from late October to the tracking sample, as it was added too late to catch in my initial assessment of that set.

Data was first taken on October 24th, 2016.

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