Fun With Numbers: Google Traffic Predicting the Fall 2013 Disk Over/Unders

Continuing on my series of disk-sales predictor checks, I’m checking whether google search traffic for Fall 2013 series’ Japanese and Romanized titles did a decent job with their eventual v1 disk sales with a simple over/under accuracy check for the top 5, 10, and 15 series each month. Results are shown below (accuracies better than the null hypothesis in green):

google-comp

Google traffic seems to be be a fairly strong indicator of disk sales, especially in December, where the top-10 check achieved the highest accuracy of any metric to date. That’s a very positive sign for the metric; I was actually expecting it to be more indicative of casual manga/LN-sales interest. We’ll see how it ultimately does there when I get the sales bump data together in a couple weeks.

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One thought on “Fun With Numbers: Google Traffic Predicting the Fall 2013 Disk Over/Unders

  1. Pingback: Fun With Numbers: Normalized Google Traffic Predicting the Summer 2013 Disk Over | Animetics

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