Articles I had scanned and lying around since forever ago, but never bothered to upload since I’m missing the issues containing steps 1 and 7 and stopped collecting the magazines a while ago. I’m uploading them now.
This is a big, big month for US releases. 45 total, and 3 already are breaking triple-digits in the rankings (One Piece Film Gold, Gundam 08th MS Team, Speed Racer).
That’s not even counting the first Digimon tri film, just a hair outside the triple-digit zone at #1104 on BD (~65 copies a day) and #8764 on DVD (~39 copies a day). This is the first thing I’ve really cared about (best Ghibli film Only Yesterday doesn’t count because I only watched it recently, 6+ months after the US release) to track with a good possiblity of making the top 20 since I started 3 years ago. Don’t do anything to ruin my moment. The BD version was ranking in the top 300 2 months ago as it got a surge of preorders from the stream of part 4 of the same series. That top-300 ranking, at a minimum, is worth 240 a day. Assuming it spiked for 1 week and the DVD/BD sales ratio was proporitonal to what it is now, that’s 400*7+100*60=8800 copies from preorders without counting its release spike. The BD threshold for the public top-30 chart this time last year was 10,057. I *may* be livetweeting its stats daily, so check my twitter (@torisunanohokori) if you care as much as I do. If not, well that’s certainly not cool, but you do you.
Data was first taken on April 24th, 2017.
A short interview with the director and cast of the latest Lupin movie (which is very good). Subs by me.
This is a fairly minor bit of news, but it’s a benchmark that’s at least mildly noteworthy. Kokoro Connect was rereleased as a full 17-episode series in both BD and DVD formats on March 14th, 2017. The TV and OVA series had previously been released in separate collections. This particular collection is noteworthy because the DVD version has thus far gone unranked among products on amazon, indicating there have been zero preorders or purchases of the product. The initial price was the MSRP of $60, but, on the 17th, the price was cut by 33% to $40. On the same day, Amazon began listing that there were 5 copies remaining in stock, and the collection remains unranked. So there you go, one solid example of how much DVDs initially stock on Amazon. It may not be indicative of the overall market as a rerelease, but this minor discovery takes us from 0 datapoints to 1.
I may be able to analyze data in the future and see how typical this is, but there isn’t much point in going back to the past – I don’t currently grab “only X copies left in stock” messages, since they appear inconsistently.
Six months ago, I took my amazon data and banged out rough sales projections for the first half of 2016. Just recently I found the time to do the same for when the region in question made an unusually high number of terrible decisions motivated by the hate that apparently fuels a depressing number of people.
Disclaimer: In this post I’m going to do some funky stuff with data that research has led me to believe I can reasonably do, plus one very uncertain gap-filling reach. BUT I don’t have any inside information and I could make mistakes here in a number of ways.
Amazon’s anime tag contains 36 releases coming up this march, plus they added a BD re-release of 5cm/s at the end of February so I’ll be tracking that as well. Currently ranking above #5000 are 5cm/s, Miss Hokusai, the Ghost in the Shell movie, the Steins Gate movie, and the Is It Wrong to Pick Up Girls in a Dungeon BD set. That final item has a much higher starting point than Trinity Seven did in August 2016, and I’m currently projecting that one to be the best-performing new TV series release in the second half of last year, so I’m very interested to see how high it gets.
Data was first taken on February 27th, 2017.
Compared to manga adaptations and original anime, which tend to be all over the map, I used to view light novel adaptations as more of a solved problem – popular light novels almost always become popular anime. However, in the past couple of years I’ve seen that rule broken several times, and it’s worth it to go back and examine the data, especially as the slant of adaptations in the year 2016 was not only unprecedented, but also looks to perhaps be the start of a trend.
Unlike the rather dull January, February 2017 actually has a lot of action: 48 total releases, 6 opening at ranks of 2000 or better. We’ll see how they end up doing.
Data was first taken on January 30th, 2017.
These are the weekly manga sales charts for the first four months in 2016, via myanimelist news, continued from the 2015 post. If you want more recent data, there’s plenty of places where charts are available (eg. ann, the mal news forum I get them from).
news post url
week of data
Place. [Weekly Sales] [Total Sales] [Series+volume #]